As Donald Trump continues to hold the attention of the American media, it looks like his grip on the “closed” primary and caucus process is less firm
One of the things that has intrigued me during Donald Trump’s vacuous rise to the top of the Republican Party presidential nomination process is his generally weaker performance in closed primaries and caucuses. We know he can win in open races, capitalizing on his wild popularity among unaligned and apathetic voters, but when it comes to traditional Republican voters, his messiah-like status in the popular media seems to carry less weight.
Trump has “won” 12 states to date, including impressive victories in Massachusetts (49.0%), Alabama (43.4%), Tennessee (38.9%) and Georgia (38.8%) – states where he tended to over perform the polls and win by comfortable margins. Between these four states alone, Trump was able to collect 129 out of 226 possible delegates. All four of these states were “open” contests where registered Republicans and independent voters could vote for their preferred Republican candidate.